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To Whom It May Concern
Dec. 21, 2011

Back to the McKubre Experiment M4 Index Page

To whom it may concern,

In 2010, I conducted an investigation of the EPRI-funded SRI International experiment "M4," performed by Michael McKubre and staff in 1994, and I published my findings. I also provided them to the federal intelligence community.

My conclusions are that, starting in 2000, McKubre began retroactively to manipulate and fabricate data that was associated with M4. He did so without presenting scientific support and without disclosing his changes to the public or to his sponsor, the Electric Power Research Institute. New Energy Times provided McKubre with multiple opportunities to respond to the investigation. Many questions remain unanswered. Please see the summary slides, questions and, where known, answers from McKubre below.

Our collection of our reports, research and records on this matter at this Web address:
http://newenergytimes.com/v2/sr/McKubreM4/McKubre-Experiment-M4.shtml

I have also asked SRI International as well as EPRI if they are willing to perform an independent investigation and release their conclusions, as well.

Steven Krivit
Editor, New Energy Times
(310) 470-8189

 

Slide 2 shows four measured helium samples, S1: 1.556ppm, S2: 1.661ppm, S3: 0.34ppm, S4: 2.077ppm.

In 1994, the researchers calculated that the helium measured at S1, based on the cell volume at 669 hours, and the heat produced in the cell from 540 to 669 hours, was too little, only 41 percent of the predicted value.

The researchers calculated that the helium measured at S2, based on the remaining cell volume at 810 hours, and the heat produced in the cell from 540 to 669 hours, was too much, 147 percent of the predicted value. The cell volume was different here because of the volume the researchers had extracted for S1. Note that the period of heat referenced for S2 is the same period used for S1.

The researchers purged the cell and measured helium at S3 at 1172 hours.

The researchers observed a 76-minute heat burst between 1336 hours and 1362 hours. They took a helium sample at 1407 hours. They did not attempt to speculate on a relationship between heat and helium for this data point for a variety of reasons, as they stated in their 1998 report. Therefore, no heat/helium value appeared in the initial published report.

In 2000, McKubre reinterpreted the value for S1 from 41 percent to 62 percent. He has provided no explanation for this. He reinterpreted the value for S2 from 147 percent to 69 percent. He has provided no explanation for this, either. He placed triangles above S3 and S4 that suggest helium measurements.

Question 1 : On what basis did McKubre reinterpret the value for S1 from 41 percent to 62 percent?

Question 2 : On what basis did McKubre reinterpret the value for S2 from 147 percent to 69 percent?

Question 3 : On what basis did McKubre interpret the helium at S3 at the higher level, represented by the triangle, considering that the cell was purged at S3?

Question 4 : On what basis was McKubre able to speculate any ratio whatsoever for S4, considering that the researchers who performed the experiment in 1994 were unable to speculate a value for S4?

Question 5 : On what basis did McKubre interpret the value, 104 percent, from the measured value of S4? The measured value, if a confident heat measurement could be compared against it, would have been 85 percent.

Answer 5 : (Given on March 21, 2010 at ACS): "When we recalibrated the volumes that were involved in determining that mass balance, the value became a more correct value."

Question 6 : On what basis did McKubre interpret that the helium measured in S4 at 1407 hours, after the cell had been purged at 1172 hours, came from the heat produced before the purge, during 540 to 669 hours?

Answer 6 : (Given in 2000 at ICCF-8): The helium got stuck inside the palladium. He used a "shake and bake" procedure to release it.

Question 7 : Does any experimental or theoretical evidence exist to support McKubre's claim that helium can be forced to go inside intact and defect-free metal, as opposed to in and through grain boundaries, by way of any electrochemical process?

Question 8 : Does any experimental or theoretical evidence exist to support McKubre's claim that helium, if trapped inside intact and defect-free metal, as opposed to in and through grain boundaries, can be released by way of any electrochemical process?

Question 9 : Does any experimental or theoretical evidence exist to support McKubre's suggestion that that helium can load into and deload from a metal, like deuterium can load and deload from a metal?

Question 10 : On what basis did McKubre represent, using the green line in the graph above, an accumulation of helium? The four helium samples were based on distinct cell volumes at different times. However, all helium measurements were compared to a single period of excess heat.

 

Question 11 : On what basis did McKubre represent in 2007 three new "data points" at 500, 525 and 1500 hours, considering that, when the experiment was performed in 1994, no such measurements were recorded?

Question 12 : On what basis did McKubre omit (or move) the data point for helium measurement S3?

Question 13 : On what basis did McKubre change the 200-hour “shake and bake” period, added in 2004, to a 600-hour “extended period of thermal and compositional cycling” as shown beginning in 2007?

Question 14 : Why did McKubre, after reporting M4 as the best evidence for "cold fusion" in every one of his presentations for the previous decade, suddenly and silently omit M4 completely on March 22, 2010, after I asked him questions about it during the American Chemical Society press conference the day before?

Question 15 : Why did McKubre, in his presentation at the Army Research Labs LENR workshop on June 29, 2010, mention nothing about M4?

Question 16 : Why did McKubre, in his presentation at Café Scientifique on Oct. 11, 2011, mention nothing about the M4 heat and helium relationship but discuss the heat and helium relationship from the Case replication experiment?

Question 17 : What is the explanation for the inconsistency in the two statements below?

Michael McKubre, Dec. 10, 2011: "We had occasion to re-analyze those data, found an error in the EPRI report (a private document at that point), and communicated that promptly to the only person who was aware or cared (in the mid- to late-’90’s): the EPRI program manager."

Brian Schimmoller of EPRI, March 30, 2010: “After checking, there is no record in our system of any corrections or errata published for those reports, and the retired project manager tells us that he's not aware of any corrections or errata, either.”

The project manager was Thomas Passell. Schimmoller also contacted Albert Machiels, the other manager on that project. Machiels, too, was not aware of any corrections or errata.

Question 17 : Considering the following facts, does McKubre's assertion that EPRI report 107843 is private retain any validity?
 
- In his 2000 paper presented at the 8th International Conference on Cold Fusion, McKubre discussed experiment M4. His only reference to experimental data for M4 was to EPRI report 107843.
 
- In his 2004 paper presented to the Department of Energy, in his request for federal funding of cold fusion, McKubre discussed experiment M4. His only reference to experimental data for M4 was to EPRI report 107843.
 
- In 2010, as stated on the EPRI Web site, EPRI report 107843 was available to the public free.
 
- In 1998, when EPRI report 107843 was published, page iii stated that "the report is a corporate document that should be cited in the literature."
 
Question 18: Considering that no evidence of McKubre’s making any correction to EPRI report 107843 exists, why would McKubre, after citing this report for more than a decade, want to suggest that the report is or ever was private?

 

 

 

 

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